Tuesday, September 29, 2009

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House prices continue to fall but there are early signs of recovery

According to the report presented this morning Tecnocasa prices continue to fall, but slowly recovering from the first half of the year. In the metropolis prices down 2.7 percent
Even in the first half has continued the decline in property prices but the changes were overall lower than those recorded in the second half of 2008. This was revealed by a survey conducted by Tecnocasa, which showed a more significant decline in the provincial capitals (-2.8%), followed by the big city (-2.7%) and finally dall'hinterland of large cities (-2 , 3%).

The market has become even slower, transactions are in significant decrease of the operators but the feeling is that since the second quarter there was an upturn in confidence that has renewed interest in the purchase of the house. Transactions are in significant decline, but among the players meander signs of optimism: in the second quarter of the year there was a sharp upturn in confidence that has renewed the interest of potential buyers.

This morning, during the press conference of national Tecnocasa which was held at the Press Club of Milan, the operators have confirmed the biggest drop in prices in the provincial capitals e infine nelle periferie delle grandi città. La diminuzione più sensibile dei prezzi rilevata da Tecnocasa si registra a Trapani (-11,7%), seguita da Varese (-10,7%) e Avellino (-9,5%). La capitale si attesta sul -2,8% e Milano a -1,7 per cento.
Nella prima parte del 2009 il prezzo dell'immobile è stato determinante ai fini dell'esito della compravendita: ormai è il rapporto qualità-prezzo è fare la differenza e i potenziali acquirenti sono sempre più attenti ad acquistare a prezzi congrui rispetto alle caratteristiche dell'edificio. Tanto che nei quartieri dove l'offerta abitativa è più vetusta si sono registrati i maggiori ribassi. In particolare sono state apprezzate le soluzioni poste ai piani alti, con spazi esterni, luminose e inserite in decorosi contesti condominiali, posizionate in zone tranquille e poco trafficate, possibilmente con box o posto auto.

Le richieste sono concentrate soprattutto sulle prime case (77,9%), un trend stimolato anche dal ribasso dei tassi di interesse sui mutui. Restite comunque anche lo zoccolo di investitori che sceglie il mattone a fronte dell'incertezza che ha interessato i mercati finanziari (22,1% ad uso investimento/seconda casa). A luglio 2009 nelle grandi città la tipologia più richiesta è stata il trilocale, con il 36,3% delle preferenze, dal momento che il calo dei prezzi li ha resi più accessibili. A Milano, Napoli e Roma però continua a "vincere" il bilocale.
As regards the analysis of the availability of expenditure, taking into account the trades made by the agencies of Tecnocasa group, the majority of requests are concentrated in the range between 170 and 249mila € (24.6%), and follow up to 349mila € (21.6%).

Tecnocasa forecasts on the housing market remain anchored in what will be the country's economic situation (in employment and credit) should close the year between -5 and -3 percent, then leveled by 2011. If you are confirmed predictions of an economic recovery next year we expect even a slight decline in prices, with a tendency to stabilize in 2011. According operators who took the word at the press conference, affecting in this recovery increased liquidity in the portfolios of riparmiatori Italian (maybe divestment in stock, creating the dreaded "capital flight" from financial markets), the effects of the tax shelter; and the belief that all the more so the prices can not fall.

also more than 800 real estate agencies network Gabetti - for the decline in the first half of 2009 was 3.6 percent - reported yesterday, in March, an increase of interest of visits and activities. In particular the increase in demand for used, while the choice of the area is no longer binding. To close the negotiations, however, owners must give an average discounts of 15 percent.

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